News & Resources

While the global economy is seeing its fastest growth in years and the US Federal Reserve has increased rates five times since December 2015 and is on track for more hikes this year, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has now left interest rates on hold for a record 21 months in a row.

Property prices in Sydney and Melbourne likely have more downside, but a crash is unlikely in the absence of much higher mortgage rates, much higher supply and a long continuation of recent high construction activity. Other cities will perform better. Property investors should remain wary of Sydney and Melbourne and focus on laggard or higher yielding markets.

The pullback in shares seen over the last week or two has seen much coverage and generated much concern. This is understandable given the rapid falls in share markets seen on some days.

Although 2017 saw the usual worry list – around President Trump, elections in Europe, China, North Korea and Australian property – it was good for investors. Balanced super funds had returns around 10%, which is pretty good given inflation was around 2%

The Fed hikes again, still gradual but likely to be a bit faster next year – implications for investors and Australia

Review of 2017, outlook for 2018 – still in the “sweet spot” but expect more volatility ahead

Is Australia’s economy “built on shaky foundations” that are “about to collapse”?

Bubbles, busts, investor psychology…and bitcoin

In this issue: Economic outlook, What will Amazon’s entry into Australia mean for Australian property?, Self-employed? Don’t leave your business at risk, Turning threats into opportunities, Financial matters for the over 60s, Fitness for the 21st century

Oliver's Insights The medium term investment return outlook remains constrained.

The Australian economy bounces back again – five reasons why some further pick up is likely and implications for investors

The June quarter saw a battle between geo-politics and economics. The quarter was characterised by healthy gains across the US markets, a tepid performance for the European bourses and strong rises across Asia, with the exception of China’s Shanghai Composite Index.